Brexit trade deal with US could be SCRAPPED if Biden wins election in November – warning

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Prime Minister Boris Johnson and US President Donald Trump had hoped to strike a free-trade deal during the current Brexit transition period which expires at the end of the year. British negotiators are currently locked in a fierce stand-off with the European Union and are also conducting trade talks with nations around the world including the US and Japan.

Mr Trump has previously boasted the US and UK could forge a trading relationship that would be bigger than any deal with the EU.

According to Inderjeet Parmar, Professor of International Politics at the City University London, even if an agreement is reached it could be wiped out if Donald Trump is defeated by Joe Biden in the race for the White House.

The former president of the British International Studies Association, says a US President has the constitutional power to negotiate and re-negotiate international treaties.

Professor Parmar said this has already been done by Mr Trump when he forced the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) between the US, Canada and Mexico – which following amendments became the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement (USMCA).

Professor Parmar added most agreements also have a termination clause which enabled parties to end the agreement within six months.

However, the power of the US President is also limited by the Congress – as the House of Representatives and House of the Senate – must also approve any legalisation.

On the prospect of Mr Biden changing any Brexit deal, Professor Parmar told “It’s a complex matter but the president, any president, has a lot of constitutionally-enabled and actual power due to a ‘commerce clause’ to negotiate and re-negotiate international trade agreements and treaties.

“However, due to more recent legislation, Congress must agree by majority vote on any agreements signed.

“So, for example, when Trump forced renegotiation of NAFTA for the new USMCA, congress had to vote it in.

“It is doubtful that he could have just thrown it out as Congress has power to make the agreement a law; so there would likely have been legal action as well.

“Hence, Biden could reverse aspects of a US-UK trade agreement or force a renegotiation – especially as most agreements have a six month notice to terminate clause.

“In principle, he could make major changes but it would depend on the politics of the two houses.”

The former vice-president under Barack Obama is on course to win the US election according to the latest polls.

The latest CNN survey puts the 77-year-old Democrat on a 14-point lead over Mr Trump.

A victory for Mr Biden could spell further danger for Mr Johnson, in October 2018, the former vice-president admitted that the UK’s decision to vote in favour of Brexit “diminished” Washington’s interests in the UK.

During a talk at Chatham House, he also admitted that if he was British he would have voted to remain part of the EU.

He said: “Had I been a Member of Parliament, had I been a British citizen, I would have voted against leaving.


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“From the US perspective, US interests are diminished with Great Britain not being an integral part of Europe and being able to bring influence.

“There’s growing awareness that Britain played a role in Europe the last 30 years that went well beyond the notion of open borders and trade, being able to influence attitudes.”

Mr Biden secured enough delegates to formally clinch the Democratic presidential nomination on Friday June 5.

He defeated more than 20 Democrat candidates to clinch the nomination which has been a formality since his main rival Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders ended his campaign in April.

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