Tories left stranded 17 points behind Labour after uninspiring Budget

Jeremy Hunt won’t commit to tax cuts before next election

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The Conservatives have failed to make a dent in Labour’s lead this week despite Jeremy Hunt providing support for parents and pension tax relief in his Budget on Wednesday. The Techne UK tracker poll of 1,624 voters for has given Labour a 17 point lead for a second week in a row ending an apparent comeback by the Tories.

According to the survey Labour is on 47 percent (up 1) with the Conservatives on 30 percent (up 1).

The Lib Dems are on 8 percent (down 1) and Reform UK is on 5 percent (down 1).

It means that voters have yet to make up their minds about a Budget which did not have any spectacular giveaways as the Government tries to keep control of the economy and inflation.

One Tory MP told “The problem was it was uninspiring. There wasn’t even a final rabbit pulled from the hat with a surprise announcement.”

The prediction website Electoral Calculus suggests that Labour would have a majority of 194 if this were the result of a general election.

The Conservatives would still be on course for a historically bad result with a mere 152 seats, worse than John Major’s 165 against Tony Blair’s Labour in 1997.

Techne UK chief executive Michela Morizzo said: “Our tracker poll this week went to the field yesterday, straight after the Chancellor sat down having given his Spring Budget statement, one of the key moments in the UK parliamentary calendar year.

“It is a pivotal waypoint no doubt as we consider the relative state of the main political parties.

“Today’s poll once again confirms a significant 17 point lead for Labour. Sir Keir Starmer’s party grows by 1 point in national vote share from 46 points to 47 points.

“Meanwhile Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives see a 1 point growth in national vote share from 29 points to 30 points.”

She added: “From my experience, I can say that it is still too early to understand what the effects will be on the level of consensus and on voting intentions.

“In fact, we have to wait for the Chancellor’s program to become operational and, at the same time, for people to understand everything that has been announced and form their own opinion.”

The results show that more than one in five (21 percent) Conservative voters from 2019 have switched to Labour.

Almost three in 10 (28 percent) Leave voters from 2016 have also decided they would vote Labour even though Sir Keir was instrumental in trying to undo Brexit.

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The one age group where the Tories have a lead is among those aged 65 and over where they poll 40 percent to 37 percent.

Meanwhile, Labour accounts for 55 percent of all voters aged between 18 and 45, according to the survey.

Labour is also ahead by 40 percent to 37 percent among the wealthiest groups of voters and has double the Conservative support among the poorest groups by 52 percent to 26 percent.

With strikes of teachers, doctors and rail workers continuing this week, the anger of the public does not seem to have translated into support for the Conservatives either.

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